Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000

ABPZ20 KNHC 181131

TWOEP 



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of

Acapulco is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for

gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early

next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to

west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of

Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association

with a broad area of low pressure centered about 1350 miles

southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development,

and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three

days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward

at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become

less favorable for development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.



$$

Forecaster Latto/Brown

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 18 Jul 2019 12:41:31 GMT