NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Mon Oct 21 20:03:03 UTC 2019
Oct 21, 2019 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS22 KWNS 212001

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0301 PM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   Guidance suggests that elevated conditions are not likely to span as
   far west as Santa Barbara County in southern California. Adjustment
   eastward of the elevated area has been made accordingly. In northern
   California, conditions still appear to be locally elevated with the
   greatest probability for elevated conditions existing in parts of
   the northern Sacramento Valley. In western/central Kansas, RH will
   fall to below 20-25%; however, winds will be much lighter than today
   with 10-15 mph being most common.

   ..Wendt.. 10/21/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019/

   Generally northwesterly flow will dominate the upper-level pattern
   across the western CONUS, with surface high pressure remaining
   fortified across the Great Basin into the central Rockies. A
   pressure gradient will remain in place across southern California,
   with offshore flow continuing throughout the Day 2/Tuesday period.

   ...Southern California...
   15-25 mph sustained northeasterly surface winds and 15-20% RH will
   occur, mainly during the afternoon hours across the southern
   Transverse ranges, where an elevated area has been added. Locally
   critical conditions may also occur in terrain-favoring locations.
   High-resolution model guidance will continue to be closely monitored
   for the possibility of a critical area addition. 

   ...Northern California...
   Northerly surface flow is expected across northern California, with
   10-15 mph sustained winds and 15-25% RH likely during the afternoon
   hours in the Sacramento Valley. Given the somewhat weaker winds, an
   elevated area has been withheld for this region at this time.
   However, if future guidance depicts stronger winds, an elevated area
   may be added in later outlooks.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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