NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Fire Weather Outlook Date and Time unavailable, please try later.
Apr 19, 2018 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 68,065 1,259,523 El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Socorro, TX...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190704

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0204 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

   Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
   FAR WEST TEXAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A vigorous storm system will migrate eastward from the Four Corners
   area into southern Colorado throughout the forecast period.  As this
   occurs, strong mid-level flow will overspread areas of the southern
   Rockies and adjacent High Plains.  At the surface, a lee
   trough/dryline will sharpen throughout the day very near the New
   Mexico/Texas border.  West of this dryline, fire weather potential
   will be maximized in response to a persistently dry airmass and
   gusty westerly surface flow.

   ...Southeastern Arizona eastward to the New Mexico/Texas border...
   The combination of tightening of the surface pressure gradient
   (associated with aforementioned deepening of the surface trough) and
   vertical mixing processes will result in a broad area of westerly
   flow across the region ranging from 10-20 mph in southern Arizona to
   around 35 mph in far west Texas/southeastern New Mexico.  A
   pre-existing dry airmass will remain in place, and surface heating
   will result in lowered RH ranging from 15-25% in Arizona to around
   5-7% immediately west of the surface trough.  Fuels should remain
   dry across the region, although models suggest some potential for
   localized areas of wetting rainfall from thunderstorms along the Rio
   Grande Valley late on D1/Thursday.  Elevated and critical fire
   weather delineations are in place to address these threats, although
   some uncertainty exists with regard to eastward extent of
   drying/mixing and trough position.  Conditions may exceed extreme
   thresholds on a brief basis from southeastern New Mexico into the
   TransPecos through the early evening, although the temporal/spatial
   extent of this threat appears too limited for any upgrade at this
   time.  This will be revisited in later outlooks.

   ..Cook.. 04/19/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK TO GET DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)



   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
powered by Cumulus v1.9.3 (1059)
Ambient Weather VWS v14.00
Top Contact Website Map Copyright © 2007 - 2018 Foresthillweather.com Never base important decisions on this or any weather information obtained from the Internet