NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Wed Apr 1 07:17:02 UTC 2020
Apr 1, 2020 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 9,582 6,747 No Major Population Center in Risk Area
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010716

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0216 AM CDT Wed Apr 01 2020

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST
   NEW MEXICO...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will meander across the western half of the U.S
   throughout the Day 2/Thursday period. Southernmost portions of this
   trough will graze the central and southern High Plains, where a
   surface low will rapidly intensify, promoting dry and breezy
   westerly flow. These conditions will support wildfire-spread
   potential given the drying fuels and ongoing lack of rainfall.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   Widespread 15-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds are
   expected by Thursday afternoon. With 10-15% RH expected, solid
   elevated conditions should spread across much of central and eastern
   New Mexico into southeast Colorado and the western Oklahoma and
   Texas Panhandles. Confidence is highest in critical winds/RH
   overlapping across portions of central into northeast New Mexico,
   where a critical delineation has been introduced. Questions remain
   regarding the exact timing of an arriving cold front, which could
   bring about cooler, moister conditions to the Texas and Oklahoma
   Panhandles and far southeast Colorado by afternoon, precluding an
   upgrade to critical at this time.

   ...Florida Peninsula...
   Much of Florida will again experience low-level dry conditions, with
   fuels continuing to cure. As upper-level support departs the region,
   with an upper-level ridge setting in, less vigorous boundary layer
   mixing is expected. RH will only slightly drier than Day 1, but with
   a mainly light and variable wind field. As such, an elevated area
   appears unwarranted at this time, though conditions may support
   localized fire starts.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/01/2020

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK TO GET DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)



   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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