NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 16 18:30:03 UTC 2018
Nov 16, 2018 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS22 KWNS 161828

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1228 PM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

   The previous forecast is on track and no changes are needed. See
   discussion below for more details regarding elevated fire weather
   concerns across parts of the western foothills of the Sierra and
   adjacent eastern Sacramento Valley.

   ..Leitman.. 11/16/2018

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0104 AM CST Fri Nov 16 2018/

   Quasi-zonal flow will remain over most of the CONUS on Saturday as
   strong mid/upper-level flow will stretch from the Rockies eastward
   through the Northeast. An upper-level shortwave trough will continue
   sliding southeast over the Rockies/High Plains helping push a cold
   front through much of the Intermountain West. This will bring
   surface high pressure into the Great Basin and with a weak thermally
   induced pressure trough still along the California coast,
   offshore/northeasterly flow will develop across much of California,
   especially across northern California. 

   ...Western Foothills of the Sierra Nevada...
   Elevated fire weather conditions will likely develop across western
   portions of the Sierra Nevada into the eastern Sacramento Valley. RH
   values of 12-25% and northeasterly winds of 12-20 mph with gusts of
   30-35 mph are expected to develop with Saturday evening through
   overnight favored for the strongest winds/lowest RH. Additionally,
   Saturday morning may begin with locally elevated conditions. The
   elevated area does include the Camp Fire, and IMETs have reported
   isolated wind gusts up to 30 mph with weaker surface pressure
   gradients during the past couple of days. Fuels remain very dry
   across this area, and fire growth is expected on any existing/new

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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