NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 16 20:47:03 UTC 2018
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Nov 16, 2018
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Nov 18, 2018 - Mon, Nov 19, 2018 D6Wed, Nov 21, 2018 - Thu, Nov 22, 2018
D4Mon, Nov 19, 2018 - Tue, Nov 20, 2018 D7Thu, Nov 22, 2018 - Fri, Nov 23, 2018
D5Tue, Nov 20, 2018 - Wed, Nov 21, 2018 D8Fri, Nov 23, 2018 - Sat, Nov 24, 2018
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 162045

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0245 PM CST Fri Nov 16 2018

   Valid 181200Z - 241200Z

   Fire weather concerns will be limited during the Day 3-8 period.
   Model consistency through the medium range period is not great,
   especially Day 6/Wed and beyond. Overall, early in the period, a
   large-scale trough will encompass the eastern half of the U.S. while
   an upper ridge persists across the western half. By mid to late
   week, the western ridge should shift eastward and troughing across
   the western states will bring widespread precipitation changes to
   much of the Pacific Coast, included parched California.

   Before then, dry conditions will persist through Day 5/Tue,
   particularly across southern CA. Strong surface high pressure over
   the Great Basin will result in some breezy east/northeast downslope
   winds along the western slopes of the northern Sierra through Day
   3/Sun afternoon, while offshore winds will increase across
   southwestern CA. Offshore winds over coastal southern CA will be
   strongest Sunday night into Day 4/Monday, with lighter offshore
   winds persisting into Day 5/Tuesday. However, the lack of upper
   level support (mid and upper level flow will be more southwesterly)
   and absence of a stronger surface pressure gradient will limit fire
   weather concerns. Some locally elevated fire conditions are
   possible, with wind gusts of 25-35 mph possible through wind-favored
   canyons and passes. By Wednesday, onshore flow will become more
   prevalent and precipitation chances will increase with southward
   extent across CA heading into the end of the work week.

   ..Leitman.. 11/16/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      


To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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