NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 18 20:27:03 UTC 2018
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jan 18, 2018
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
D4 19,721 509,065 Midland, TX...Odessa, TX...San Angelo, TX...Big Spring, TX...West Odessa, TX...
D3Sat, Jan 20, 2018 - Sun, Jan 21, 2018 D6Tue, Jan 23, 2018 - Wed, Jan 24, 2018
D4Sun, Jan 21, 2018 - Mon, Jan 22, 2018 D7Wed, Jan 24, 2018 - Thu, Jan 25, 2018
D5Mon, Jan 22, 2018 - Tue, Jan 23, 2018 D8Thu, Jan 25, 2018 - Fri, Jan 26, 2018
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   FNUS28 KWNS 182024

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0224 PM CST Thu Jan 18 2018

   Valid 201200Z - 261200Z

   A vigorous mid-level trough, initially over the Desert Southwest on
   D3/Sat, will migrate eastward and reach the central Plains late
   D4/Sun.  As a result of the ejecting trough, surface cyclogenesis
   will commence across the eastern Colorado Plains, with this low
   migrating slowly northeastward into Kansas and the mid-Missouri
   Valley area on D5/Mon.  Fire weather concerns will increase D3/Sat
   and D4/Sun and will be confined to the dry sector of this surface
   low in portions of the southern Plains.

   ...D3/Sat and D4/Sun - Southern Great Plains...
   Breezy to windy conditions will develop on the southern periphery of
   the aforementioned, slow-moving surface low throughout the period. 
   Downslope flow and insolation will result in a gradually warming and
   drying airmass across the region, with at least near-critical RH
   values occurring each day.  Stronger surface winds will occur D4/Sun
   afternoon as stronger mid-level flow (attendant to the approaching
   mid-level trough) overspreads the region, with widespread
   near-critical conditions becoming likely.  40% delineations have
   been made where these heightened fire weather conditions will exist.
   Additionally, a 70%/critical area has been added on D4/Sun in
   portions of west Texas where greater confidence exists in strong
   surface flow and critically low RH.  Elevated fire weather
   conditions will become less likely on D5/Mon as the surface low and
   trough migrate away from the region.

   ..Cook.. 01/18/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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