NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Tue Jul 5 16:51:03 UTC 2022
Jul 5, 2022 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 051649

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1149 AM CDT Tue Jul 05 2022

   Valid 051700Z - 061200Z

   The Elevated area was expanded slightly southward into southern NV
   and far northwest AZ based on the latest surface observations and
   high-resolution guidance. Along the western periphery of deeper
   monsoonal moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms are possible over
   parts of central UT this afternoon, and a lightning-induced ignition
   or two cannot be ruled out given near-critical to locally critical
   fuels. However, this activity looks too isolated/marginal for dry
   thunderstorm highlights.

   ..Weinman.. 07/05/2022

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CDT Tue Jul 05 2022/

   Upper ridging will remain in place across the central CONUS as a
   broad mid-level trough persists over the Interior West today. Broad
   surface lee troughing across the Great Basin will support Elevated
   dry and windy conditions by afternoon. Surface troughing to the lee
   of the southern Rockies may also support a localized, brief
   wildfire-spread threat over portions of the southern Plains, where
   fuel ERCs are forecast to rise into the 80th-90th percentile range.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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