Space Weather Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Issued: 2020 Aug 05 0030 UTC

Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2770 (N23E60, Cso/beta) remained inactive only producing B-levels enhancements in the X-ray flux. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 05-07 Aug.

Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels with a peak flux of 947 pfu at 04/1740 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 05-06 Aug and return to moderate levels by 07 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.

Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters reflected the continued influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speeds remained elevated, yet on the decline, ending the period near 600 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-5 nT, and the Bz component was +/- 4 nT. Phi was predominantly in a positive orientation while undertaking brief excursions into a negative solar sector.
Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to continue on 05 Aug as positive polarity CH HSS effects persist. A gradual return to an ambient-like, background environment is anticipated for 06-07 Aug.

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to CH HSS effects.
Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a slight chance for an isolated active period, is anticipated for 05 Aug as CH HSS influence persists. Quiet conditions are expected for 06-07 Aug.
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