NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sat Mar 23 16:25:03 UTC 2019
Mar 23, 2019 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 231624

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1124 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2019

   Valid 231700Z - 241200Z


   The forecast remains on track, with no changes made.

   ..Squitieri.. 03/23/2019

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0126 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2019/

   An upper-level shortwave trough will weaken and move northeast over
   the central Plains with 40-50 knot mid-level westerly flow across
   the Southwest and southern High Plains today. Surface high pressure
   will shift southeast out of the Ohio Valley through the Mid-Atlantic
   and off the Carolina coast, which will help relax the surface
   pressure gradient and bring southerly/easterly flow back to portions
   of the Southeast late in the day.

   Elevated winds/critical RH are likely to develop across portions of
   southern New Mexico and West Texas with westerly winds of 10-20 mph
   and RH values of 8-20% expected during the afternoon. The
   spatial/temporal coverage of these elevated conditions will be
   relatively limited and mostly across areas that recently received
   precipitation or have sparse vegetation. Fine fuel moisture values
   have dropped, but 100/1000-hour dead fuel moisture values are mostly
   near or just below normal mitigating the fire threat.

   Dry conditions (RH values of 15-30%) will continue across
   southern/eastern Georgia, northern Florida, and southern/eastern
   South Carolina where ERCs are above the 80th and in some areas the
   90th percentile. However, winds will be light (< 10 mph) and
   onshore, southerly/easterly flow will return by tonight across much
   of the region.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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