NWS Storm Prediction Center - Day 1-2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 29 16:31:03 UTC 2023
Nov 29, 2023 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal  Day 1 Surface Analysis 

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 291630

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1030 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023

   Valid 291700Z - 301200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Dry conditions
   will also be present across portions of the central and southern
   Appalachians. Here, a severe to exceptional drought is in place,
   with appreciable rainfall accumulations lacking in the past week.
   The absence of a stronger sustained surface wind field will limit
   robust wildfire spread (hence no highlights). However, localized
   wildfire-spread concerns could materialize by afternoon peak heating
   if RH can drop below 30 percent and overlap with any wind gusts.

   ..Squitieri.. 11/29/2023

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0149 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023/

   ...Synopsis...
   A southern-stream midlevel trough will track eastward across the
   Desert Southwest. Preceding this feature, a low-amplitude impulse
   embedded in southwesterly flow aloft will cross the central Rockies,
   promoting lee troughing and breezy/gusty southerly return flow over
   the central High Plains. Increasing mid/high-level clouds
   accompanying the impulse may stunt diurnal heating to an extent,
   though modest downslope flow should offset this and yield around
   15-20 percent RH. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are
   possible here, a limited overlap of the breezy winds and low RH,
   combined with marginal fuels, should limit the overall fire-weather
   threat.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   CLICK TO GET DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      


   Source:  NWS Fire Weather Outlook
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